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Pandemic-Proof Stocks
20 Stocks That Always Surge During Election Years
Determining how certain historical events impact the stock market is essentially impossible. There’s no way to separate one from another, and correlation is not causation. So if your desire is to simply identify the stocks that are surefire winners in an election year just by looking at past performance, you might be making a big mistake by assuming that consistent performance every four years is anything other than a coincidence. However, that doesn’t mean that trends are definitely not rooted in something you could apply to your own portfolio.
If you take the current list of companies in the S&P 500 and examine their performance in election years going back to 2000, you do have five different data points to look at. And there are five companies that have actually posted a gain in each of the last five election cycles. Here are those six companies along with their performance in each election year, as well as 14 other companies that have the largest cumulative gains over those five years in spite of at least one having a negative return.
Last updated: Sept. 22, 2020
PulteGroup (PHM)
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2000 performance: 87.39%
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2004 performance: 36.27%
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2008 performance: 3.70%
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2012 performance: 187.80%
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2016 performance: 3.14%
How is 2020 looking for PulteGroup? Up 16.11%
W.R. Berkley Corporation (WRB)
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2000 performance: 125.82%
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2004 performance: 34.94%
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2008 performance: 4.03%
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2012 performance: 9.73%
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2016 performance: 21.48%
How is 2020 looking for W.R. Berkley Corp.? Down 8.34%
Arthur J. Gallagher & Company (AJG)
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2000 performance: 96.48%
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2004 performance: 0.03%
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2008 performance: 7.11%
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2012 performance: 3.62%
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2016 performance: 26.92%
How is 2020 looking for Arthur J. Gallagher & Company? Up 8.14%
Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW)
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2000 performance: 25.29%
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2004 performance: 28.47%
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2008 performance: 2.95%
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2012 performance: 72.31%
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2016 performance: 3.52%
How is 2020 looking for Sherwin-Williams Company? Up 22.74%
Waste Management (WM)
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2000 performance: 61.43%
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2004 performance: 1.15%
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2008 performance: 1.44%
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2012 performance: 3.15%
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2016 performance: 32.86%
How is 2020 looking for Waste Management? Up 2.73%
General Mills (GIS)
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2000 performance: 24.61%
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2004 performance: 9.76%
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2008 performance: 6.60%
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2012 performance: 0.02%
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2016 performance: 7.13%
How is 2020 looking for General Mills? Up 10.19%
Find Out: How the Economy Is Doing in 30 Coronavirus Hot Spots
Quest Diagnostics Inc. (DGX)
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2000 performance: 364.66%
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2004 performance: 30.69%
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2008 performance: -1.87%
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2012 performance: 0.36%
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2016 performance: 29.18%
How is 2020 looking for Quest Diagnostics Inc.? Up 6.37%
Laboratory Corporation of America Holdings (LH)
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2000 performance: 377.22%
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2004 performance: 34.83%
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2008 performance: -14.72%
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2012 performance: 0.76%
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2016 performance: 3.83%
How is 2020 looking for Laboratory Corporation of America Holdings? Up 9.90%
Vertex Pharmaceutic (VRTX)
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2000 performance: 308.57%
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2004 performance: 2.13%
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2008 performance: 30.78%
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2012 performance: 26.17%
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2016 performance: -41.45%
How is 2020 looking for Vertex Pharmaceutic? Up 21.88%
EOG Resources (EOG)
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2000 performance: 211.39%
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2004 performance: 54.59%
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2008 performance: -25.41%
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2012 performance: 22.61%
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2016 performance: 42.82%
How is 2020 looking for EOG Resources? Down 53.93%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN)
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2000 performance: 176.63%
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2004 performance: -37.39%
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2008 performance: -23.98%
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2012 performance: 208.62%
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2016 performance: -32.38%
How is 2020 looking for Regeneron Pharmaceuticals? Up 54.44%
Monster Beverage (MNST)
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2000 performance: -11.11%
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2004 performance: 322.22%
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2008 performance: -24.25%
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2012 performance: 14.65%
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2016 performance: -10.69%
How is 2020 looking for Monster Beverage? Up 30.83%
See: 50 Stocks That Have Suffered the Biggest Losses During the Coronavirus Scare
SBA Communications (SBAC)
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2000 performance: 118.99%
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2004 performance: 146.81%
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2008 performance: -51.77%
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2012 performance: 65.22%
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2016 performance: -1.72%
How is 2020 looking for SBA Communications? Up 34.18%
Everest Re Group (RE)
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2000 performance: 221.07%
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2004 performance: 5.86%
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2008 performance: -24.16%
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2012 performance: 30.75%
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2016 performance: 18.19%
How is 2020 looking for Everest Re Group? Down 25.55%
Teledyne Technologies Inc. (TDY)
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2000 performance: 150.32%
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2004 performance: 56.13%
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2008 performance: -16.46%
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2012 performance: 18.63%
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2016 performance: 38.67%
How is 2020 looking for Teledyne Technologies Inc.? Down 7.79%
NVR Inc. (NVR)
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2000 performance: 158.85%
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2004 performance: 65.11%
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2008 performance: -12.93%
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2012 performance: 34.11%
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2016 performance: 1.58%
How is 2020 looking for NVR Inc.? Up 5.58%
DaVita Healthcare Partners Inc. (DVA)
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2000 performance: 156.05%
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2004 performance: 52.08%
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2008 performance: -12.03%
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2012 performance: 45.79%
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2016 performance: -7.90%
How is 2020 looking for DaVita Healthcare Partners Inc.? Up 19.74%
Nvidia Corp. (NVDA)
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2000 performance: 39.64%
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2004 performance: 52.13%
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2008 performance: -76.28%
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2012 performance: -11.54%
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2016 performance: 223.85%
How is 2020 looking for Nvidia Corp.? Up 120.84%
Waters Corp. (WAT)
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2000 performance: 215.09%
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2004 performance: 41.10%
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2008 performance: -53.65%
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2012 performance: 17.65%
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2016 performance: -0.14%
How is 2020 looking for Waters Corp.? Down 12.00%
Oneok Inc. (OKE)
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2000 performance: 91.45%
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2004 performance: 28.65%
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2008 performance: -34.95%
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2012 performance: -1.37%
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2016 performance: 132.81%
How is 2020 looking for Oneok Inc.? Down 65.26%
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How To Invest $100,000 For $940 Per Month In Passive Income
OCtober 20, 2020 If you have $100,000 to invest, you can easily use it to unleash a dividend stream that pays you $940 a month. That’s $11,280 a year in dividends—on just $100K!
I know you’re probably thinking this sounds too good to be true (and you should be!), especially when 10-year Treasuries dribble out just 0.7%, and the typical S&P 500 stock isn’t much better, with a 1.7% yield.
You’re not retiring on either one of those meager payouts!
But $100,000 invested in a fund with an 11.3% dividend yield (like the one we’ll dive into below) gives you a good start toward clocking out, and on a modest nest egg, too.
The nice thing about this approach is that you’ll still invest in blue chip companies like Mastercard (MA), Deere & Co (DE) and PepsiCo (PEP). That’s the real magic of this strategy: it lets you take low payers like these (PepsiCo is the highest yielder of this trio, at 2.9%) and “squeeze” them for a far bigger payout. Here’s how it works:
Step 1: Open a Brokerage Account
This isn’t really a step for many people—if you’ve read this far, you probably already have a trading account. No matter what kind of account it is, you’re fine to use it (so long as it lets you trade US stocks, of course): there’s nothing exotic about the funds we’re going to target with this strategy. They trade on the major markets, just like stocks.
If you don’t have $100K in your account already, go ahead and transfer it in.
Step 2: Buy a Closed-End Fund
Next, you’ll need to purchase a closed-end fund (CEF). The name we’re targeting today is the Gabelli Equity Trust (GAB). Let’s get into a little more detail on both CEFs in general and GAB in particular.
First, a CEF is like a mutual fund or an exchange-traded fund (ETF), but with some key differences. Unlike mutual funds, whose values are reconciled and unit prices are set after each trading day, CEFs trade during the exchange’s opening hours, just like an ETF or a regular stock.
And unlike ETFs, a CEF has a fixed amount of shares that are established when the fund holds its IPO. While ETFs can, and do, increase their total number of shares outstanding, CEFs do not, which helps keep them small and more manageable. An ETF like the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) can balloon to have a whopping $278 billion in it, where the biggest CEF has just $4 billion in assets. GAB is much smaller, with $1.3 billion.
GAB is managed by a group of value investors who focus on high-quality, mostly mid-cap and large-cap stocks. This team is headlined by famed value-investing guru (and Warren Buffett disciple) Mario Gabelli. Mario and his team look for companies with reliable cash flow and rising profits, which is why the fund owns Mastercard and PepsiCo.
Unlike ETFs, which usually pay tiny dividends, GAB (like most CEFs) focuses on maximizing dividends to shareholders; it does this by collecting payouts from the companies it holds and rotating assets and occasionally taking profits, which it then gives to shareholders in the form of dividends. That’s one way the fund can sustain a double-digit dividend.
There’s another part to the fund’s strategy, too: a careful use of leverage—by borrowing to invest, Gabelli and his team can enhance their portfolio’s returns, boosting its profits (and your payouts) further. Leverage, of course, also amplifies losses, a risk Gabelli mitigates by targeting companies trading below their intrinsic value and by keeping his leverage manageable—right now, the team has borrowed against roughly 25% of the portfolio.
Leverage is a particularly smart strategy today, with the cost of borrowing essentially at zero.
Now let’s take an exploded view of our GAB investment, so we can see exactly what we’ve got on the line here, and how much we’re getting back in dividend cash:
Step 3: Wait Two Months
After we’ve bought our shares, the last part is the easiest: just wait for the checks to roll in.
GAB pays dividends every three months, with the next payout coming sometime around December 14. That means in about two months, an investor who puts $100K in now will have $2,830.05 in time for Christmas.
If you want to set this up as a recurring income stream, all you have to do is set an automatic-payment-transfer from your brokerage account to your bank account for $943.35 every month, and GAB’s dividends will appear in your account—in cash.
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2. Validate your Idea You want to make sure this product is something people would buy and you can validate it by using the following tools:
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Ask for feedback and opinion from them and at the end, they will support your product when you launch it because they've helped to create this product. -
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